all cause deaths and vaccination status
UK data provides a BIG piece of the puzzle (and aligns with the vaccine RCT's)
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/all-c...and-vaccination
el gato malo
Sep 26


i spoke a little while back about how what would be really useful is the ability to look at full, all cause deaths data by age and vaccination status and how this would surely be about as good a data on overall public health impact as one could find.

it takes everything, all the protection, risk, fatal side effects (known and unknown), and who knows what else we failed to think of into account.

well, one of the great parts about living on a ball with nearly 8 billion people, some quite smart, is that sometimes, you get exactly what you asked for. THIS ANALYSIS, performed by norman fenton (professor of risk information) and matrin neil (professor of computer science and statistics) is JUST what the gato ordered.



it’s a great write up, well written, well caveated, and easily accessible. if you have not, you should all read it.

because many of you likely won’t, i’m going to hit the high points here and amplify and add context and data.

they dug into the UK ONS data and found age standardized all cause deaths data. they then controlled for cohort size in each of the vaccinated categories:

unvaccinated

dose one with 21 days

dose one more than 21 days (and no dose 2)

dose 2 (fully vaccinated)

then, because, like some internet felines you might happen to know, they took issue with not including the partially vaccinated in the vaccinated bodycount, they aggregated all forms of vaxx into one cohort to compare to the unvaxxed. (huzzah!)

they then looked at the unvaccinated mortality rate vs the vaccinated and plotted this fascinating chart.



addendum: some people have expressed confusion on how these charts are presented. the Y axis is weekly all cause mortality per 100k standardized for age. the X axis is week of the year. (week 26 ends July 2 in 2021)

it’s clear that early in the year the vaccinated mortality rate was far below the unvaxxed. but it rose steadily and the unvaxxed dropped sharply. it’s quite possible that that early deaths rate was inflated by the very sick, already in hospital or some such, during peak disease and deaths season, and already near death being simply too weak to vaccinate. (or it could be other things, it’s hard to say anything certain)-- excerpt, rest at link above --